ET, November 22, 2022 Ukraine expresses outrage after Hungarian prime minister's scarf shows western Ukraine as part of . In 2020, Russia spent $61.7bn on its military which accounted for 11.4 percent of government spending. Thus, the Russian players primary focus, during the first few days of the campaign, was aimed at gaining freedom of maneuver in the skies air dominance along with destroying Ukraines coastal defense systems. Thus, they have held back much of their overwhelming fires complex to avoid destroying significant amounts of infrastructure and killing too many of their Ukrainian brothers. This was the reasoning employed in the game, and most current reporting shows it was the thinking dominating the Kremlin. Follow James Rogers on Twitter@jamesjrogers. (PDF) A Simulation of a Possible War between Russia and Ukraine: How Josh Calder created another infographic, this time of what might result from the war. Once the Russian offensive began to roll there was a wide expectation of a rapid armored descent on Ukraines key cities Kyiv, Kharkiv, Dnipro, and Odessa. Civilians flee embattled Bakhmut as Ukrainian pullout looms, Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 374, Biden, Scholz pledge to punish Russia over Ukraine war, Wagner chief urges Ukraines Zelenskyy to abandon Bakhmut, The Wagner Group explained | Start Here, Russias Andrey Kelin: Ukraine invasion can be called civil war, Biden, Scholz praise Western cooperation on Ukraine, Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 373, Russia envoy denies atrocities, blames West for Ukraines misery, US arrests two for allegedly exporting aviation tech to Russia, Indias G20 meeting ends without consensus on Russia-Ukraine war, Russia accuses Ukraine of cross-border attack in Bryansk, Blinken, Lavrov talk at G20 meeting as US-Russia tensions soar, Russias Generation Z: Some are more Z than others, Al Jazeera Centre for Public Liberties & Human Rights. A simulation, in contrast, is either a human or computer representation of a situation, where people (or software) make decisions to drive that situation to an end state. What is the Wagner Group? File photo - Infantrymen of the 3rd Battalion, 69th Armored Regiment, 1st Brigade, 3rd Infantry Division, fire M1A2 System Enhancement Package Version 2 vehicles on Tapa Army Base, Nov. 13, 2015. At present, none of these cities have fallen, and the Russian ground offensive appears to be slowing, as it faces stiffening resistance and logistic challenges. Take a second to support Bryan Alexander on Patreon! He says he has a beard like one. Comparison of Russia and Ukraine Military Strengths (2023) The meeting comes as the US annouced a new military aid including tactical bridges to move tanks and armoured vehicles. Russias plan was to conduct an even longer period of shaping, but the game was time-limited, forcing the players to begin ground operations earlier than they wished. Is @BryanAlexander a wizard because he wrote about the possibility of a pandemic in 2018? So, either the Russians are holding a number of zero-day exploits in reserve, or it is time to closely examine how dangerous cyber operations truly are. A simulation shows how a nuclear war between Russia and NATO could potentially play out in a horrific scenario that would result in the deaths of millions of people around the world within hours. Both of these actions were, however, discussed by the players in the wargame. They added it was a limited response and did not say what type of target the US military had simulated attacking. I find scenarios help us think about futures usefully. There are multiple objects that can be affected by your actions: Tanks . Note the chained sequences of effects, along with rating them for relative likelihood of occurring: A Bloomberg column considers three scenarios for how western economic sanctions could impact Russia and the world. The alliance decides to set up a limited no-fly zone around the Ukrainian city of Lviv to protect innocent civilians and refugees that are trapped and have nowhere to go, Kazianis wrote. Thank you for your patience as we work towards bringing this back. He explained: If youre trying to deter an adversary, what you might do is reveal the fact that youve been simulating you fight them because that is part of your deterrence. That's not true. Ukraine and several other countries . Watch this video to find out what will happ. Also, as of yet, the Russians have not forced the Dnieper in the south, and the forces in the east, pushing forward north of Kharkiv, are still some distances from the Dnieper crossings. Based on the wargames, a clash with Russia in the Baltic states would result in the rapid defeat of U.S. forces and their allies, Ochmanek told Fox News. In Ukraine Defender you control Ukrainian plane which can shoot and throw bombs at Russian Z forces, The game has built-in timer 500s after which the game ends . In the actual conflict, Russias attempt at a rapid move to Kyiv aiming to decapitate the government appears to have backfired. Putin also orders a massive cyber attack on the Baltic states military infrastructure, thinking that NATO will use the Baltics to stage an invasion of Russia. Please check your browser settings to ensure that it is not blocking Facebook from running on straight.com. Nuclear war: Pentagon's terrifying all-out-war simulation with Russia Before NATO can impose its no-fly zone, Putin orders strikes on any remaining airfields and military assets around Lviv, Kazianis related. The United Nations Refugee agency (UNHCR) protects and assists the refugees of this and all other conflicts worldwide. Fact-Check | Video game simulation video from a game called ARMA 3 has gone viral with social media users claiming that it shows live visuals of the war between Russia and Ukraine. Simulations and scenarios for the Ukrainian crisis "A crisis like the one we are currently facing often results in miscommunication between parties, exacerbated by the fact that there remain very few active lines of communication between Russia and the U.S./NATO," said Glaser, who is an associate professor at Princeton's School of Public and International Affairs and Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering. At this time, the Russian fires complex (artillery, air, and missiles) switched its priority to destroying Ukrainian fire support systems. An EU official also said China providing arms to Russia would be an absolute red line and lead to sanctions: Report. The images evoke scenes in Kyiv and Kharkiv as the Ukrainian cities face a growing Russian invasion. Patchy control. The Russian . Get a daily look at whats developing in science and technology throughout the world. 69% 18. The video shows footage from "Arma 3," a military-style video game. In the game, moving away from the line of control proved difficult, as retreats under pressure always are. Is there any justification for Putin's war? | Ukraine | The Guardian Nine countries in the world possess nuclear weapons. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Your email address will not be published. Futurist Stephen Aguilar-Milan ran two matrix game simulations with very different outcomes. The result: one billion people die in a nuclear war. A Russian ballistic missiles guidance system fails and crash-lands into NATO member Poland, killing 34 civilians as it tragically lands into a populated village along the Polish-Ukraine border, Kazianis recalled about one scenario in the simulation. The chaos of the past week might be incorrectly comforting. A Rout for Russia's Tanks: A three-week fight near the town of Vuhledar in southern Ukraine produced the biggest tank battle of the war so far, and a stinging setback for the Russians. Consequently, throughout the wargame, these headquarters remained functional and effective, as the Russians focused much of their available long-range strikes on gaining air dominance. Russia's Military, Once Creaky, Is Modern and Lethal - The New York Times The exercise was called the NATO-Russia War of 2019. File photo - Artillerymen of 1st Battalion, 41st Field Artillery Regiment fire M109 Alpha 6 Paladins, on Tapa Army Base, Estonia, Nov. 27, 2015. Kyiv, Ukraine. Russia-Ukraine war in maps and charts: Live Tracker - Al Jazeera was a computer rendering from a combat flight simulator originally uploaded by a YouTube user with just 3,000 . Looking for Matt, a longshoreman in Delta. Filter reviews by the user's playtime when the review was written: When enabled, off-topic review activity will be filtered out. While the wargame did not simulate the strategic level of warfare, the international support garnered by Ukraines heroic resistance may, in the end, prove fatal to Russia achieving its aims. Ex-French soldier who witnessed the Bucha war crimes committed against civilians by the Armed Forces of Ukraine survives assassination attempt by Kiev, requests asylum in Russia "Those 87K armed IRS agents are needed to fight the black market which will spring up as soon as CBDC is introduced." ZH Comment Still, even if one accepts that the Russians are trying to limit Ukrainian casualties and infrastructure damage, it is difficult to ignore the fact the Russians have been slow off the mark. (U.S. Army photo by: Sgt Caitlyn Byrne, 10th Press Camp Headquarters), Chilling World War III 'wargames' show US forces crushed by Russia and China. In 2019, Harry J. Kazianis participated in an American simulation of a war between Russia and the U.S.-led North Atlantic Treaty Organization. This is so well-structured and thoughtful that it almost made me forget I was terrified while reading it. Its freely available to download and play. The GFP country comparison form is provided to allow you to make direct, side-by-side comparisons of any two world powers represented in the GFP database. This year, the autumn military call-up in Russia lasts from October 1 to December 31; estimated 127,500 men are going to be drafted. In fact, news reports indicate that is already happening. This video is a war simulation between Ukraine and Russia.This video was not made to offend anyone! This is what nuclear war between US and Russia would look - indy100 Ukraine and Russia explained in ten maps and charts. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Video Game Simulation Shared as Live Footage of 'Russia-Ukraine War' In the wargame, the Ukraine team screened the bottleneck to the north of the Crimean Peninsula but could not contain a powerful Russian attack that pushed through and advanced on Kherson. This ends up being the last straw for NATO, which then decides direct intervention in Ukraine is necessary to push back against Russian aggression, Kazianis wrote. It ranks in the top five nations which spend the most on their military. But as this is being written, even here the Russian initial advances toward Kyiv appear to have been stymied some miles north of the city. But the tableau in fact comes from "This War of Mine" an award-winning video game from . You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Scores of war games carried out by the United States and its allies in the wake of Russia's 2014 invasion of Ukraine make it clear that Putin would probably use a nuclear weapon if he concludes . Famous and foundational think tank RAND gamed a Russian attack on the Baltic nations. If this wargame had been played at the Pentagon or the White House in the weeks leading up to the war, no strategist or policymaker would be shocked by any event so far seen in the war. Image: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg. Side-by-side comparison showcasing the relative conventional fighting strengths of Russia and Ukraine for the year 2023. In the two weeks prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Marine Corps University ran a four-day wargame to simulate the first several days of just such an invasion. The ripple effects of Russia's war in Ukraine continue to change the world. Russia obtained complete victory within five days. Are there other scenarios or simulations for this topic which you recommend? According to research organization RAND, should a major conflict arise in Russia and China's 'backyards,' US forces would be crushed by a vast array of both conventional and cyber weapons. In the wargame, the main Russian ground offensive was purposely delayed, as the Russian players focused on several days of shaping fires aimed at destroying critical enemy capabilities before committing the bulk of their ground forces. Below are ten infographics that break down the history, politics and economics of the Ukraine-Russia crisis. He added that since the late Noughties, Russia has increasingly exercised its nuclear forces, both with live forces and also with tabletop forces. Close watchers of the Russia-Ukraine war say the fluid and rapidly changing nature of the conflict makes it hard to gauge what will happen next in Ukraine, with both Moscow's . An excellent case can be made that the Russians made similar calculations at the start of the current war. A scenario is ant object to think through, while a simulation gives users ways to intervene in the problem. Between Russia and the US alone, scientists concluded a nuclear war would kill 3.1 million people within 45 minutes. A screenshot taken from the Plan A nuclear war simulation. All fatality estimates are limited to acute deaths from nuclear explosions and would be significantly increased by deaths occurring from nuclear fallout and other long-term effects. This project is motivated by the need to . While the game does make allowance for aspects of the human domain, it is hard to factor in things like the courageous leadership being demonstrated by Zelenskyy and its impact on the will of the fighting forces and the Ukrainian people. ET. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. The simulation was developed by Alex Wellerstein, Tamara Patton, Moritz Ktt, and Alex Glaser with assistance from Bruce Blair, Sharon Weiner, and Zia Mian. Primary initial targets in the wargame were Ukrainian S-300 systems around Kyiv, the Dnieper River bend, Kherson, and Odessa. After an initial burst of interest in the video, the view count didn't increase much until late February 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine and Putin made remarks alluding to the possible use of nuclear weapons, according to Glaser. Ukrainian resistance is not yet at the point where one can make comparisons to Finlands courageous stand against Stalins Red Army in the 1940 Winter War, but the possibility of Ukraine holding out for weeks or months must now be part of everyones calculations, including the Russians. The global impact of Russia's war in Ukraine : NPR "Once the nuclear threshold is crossed, it may be very difficult to prevent escalation to an all-out nuclear war, i.e., escalating from single use, to a tactical nuclear war in Europe, to a counterforce attack, and ultimately to a countervalue attacktargeting cities and economic centers with the aim of inhibiting the other side's recovery," Glaser said. This situation is worsened by something becoming more apparent by the day; the Russian militarys capacity to conduct a vast joint and combined arms assault may not be quite as good as advertised. The hope is that students will develop insights from these wargames that help them better understand joint warfighting. Let us know in the comments section here. Beyond Ukraine, how might the war expand to other nations, such as those to Russias east? This project is motivated by the need to highlight the potentially catastrophic consequences of current US and Russian nuclear war plans. Typically we build them based on one or two driving forces, and often produce several together for comparative purposes. But, on the other hand, no one involved in this wargame has been much surprised by anything unfolding on the ground. At the time the game ended, this major ground fight all along the river in the vicinity of Kherson and along the shores of the Black Sea just to the south and west of Kherson was still developing. A Foreign Affairs article offers a range of outcomes following Russian success in Ukraine. In 2019, Harry J. Kazianis participated in an American simulation of a war between Russia and the U.S.-led North Atlantic Treaty Organization. In this video I play Eastern Theatre War Simulator a Roblox game where it is Russia Vs Ukraine. In the case of this particular wargame, its near concurrent use with the actual start of the war presents an opportunity to make constructive comparisons and contrasts. RAND Senior Defense Analyst David Ochmanek discussed the simulations at the Center for a New American Security(CNAS) in Washington D.C. last week. Likewise, Russia carried out its own strategic nuclear drills just a matter of days before invading Ukraine. How will Russia's war with Ukraine end? Here are 5 possible outcomes - CNBC Ukraine in maps: Tracking the war with Russia - BBC News STRATFOR created several scenarios describing different Russian invasion strategies: The reality looks most like Hold East Ukraine. In another Russia successfully occupies Ukraine and the Baltic states, dealing NATO a major defeat. But it was almost the precise course of action the Russians undertook in the wargame. The views expressed in this article are the authors own and do not express the views or positions of Marine Corps University, the U.S. Marine Corps, the Department of Defense, or any part of the U.S. government. This is what would happen if Russia and the US had a nuclear war - MSN 6:30 p.m. PLAN A. SGS developed a new simulation for a plausible escalating war between the United States and Russia using realistic nuclear force postures, targets and fatality estimates. The selected countries for comparison, Russia and Ukraine, are displayed below in side-by-side format.The Primary selection is displayed in Blue while the Secondary selection is displayed in Red.Go back to compare two other military powers. Ukraine's economy stabilizes after shock of war. New video: https://youtu.be/gtC8T_iernk [Afghanistan] Subscribe and turn on notifications to stay updated with new uploads!Military simulationFollow us:ht. Putin joined Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko for a "major military . Realizing that these forces were at high risk of envelopment and could not withstand an all-out assault by Russias 8thCombined Arms Army, the decision was made to withdraw to the Dnieper River, with the exception of the Ukrainian 92nd Mechanized Brigade plus parts of the 53rd and 54th Mechanized Brigades, which were sent to consolidate positions in and around Kharkiv.