I think that was exactly Msgr. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Opportunity - livebendy.com Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. You can start the series by clicking HERE. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Your email address will not be published. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Step 3. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. On one try. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Thats a ridiculously huge number. Step 1. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell Suitcases checked and standing side by side. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Step 2. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. This button displays the currently selected search type. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. But let's think about this some more. Thats going to take a LONG time. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Do you know the odds of being alive? Me neither. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. dr ali binazir odds of being born - sindicaturarosarito.gob.mx Thats 150,000 generations. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born - thlf.us I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. Are they gross exaggerations? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Now things start getting interesting. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Dr. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. xx, Lets be social! I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. dr ali binazir odds of being born In other words, as this infographic figures it,. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Onward to freedom! He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. I hope you use your chance well. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. One in 2,000. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. You may think You say that to everyone!. How fast does a laden fly fly? Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. That's 150,000 generations. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Yet here we are. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. But let's think about this some more. Step 4. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. dr ali binazir odds of being born. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. That's 150,000 generations. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Something was dropped and then picked up. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. The chances that they would then get knocked up? According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Step 3. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. June 5. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com Step 4. Want to Read. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times.
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