Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. Our Maps Shouldn't Lie About Our Votes - Sightline Institute Zirpoli: The states that are givers and takers of federal dollars may He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. The blue-state exodus gains momentum | The Hill You have to beware with these reports, though. It is not a red state. The counties that flipped their states for Biden - USA Today I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. How Red Or Blue Is Your State? | FiveThirtyEight polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. Explained! Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. These States Could Flip From Red To Blue During The 2020 Election And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Trump:61,386 (60.51%) The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. (PA, GA, MI)". Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. All three of those states were very close in both elections. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Next is Alabama at No. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. 2023 Best & Worst States for Retirement | Retirement Living The 'blue shift' and what it means for Pennsylvania's 2020 election results Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Election results provided by the Associated Press. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. What Painted Us So Indelibly Red and Blue? - Governing Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . But What about Investing in Bonds? But Pennsylvania is now red. Vice versa for Montana. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Independent candidate Ralph Nader did not win any electoral votes, yet he received 2% of the vote of voters from high-income households and voters with graduate degrees. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. 2020 Election Results - Electoral Vote Map Press Enter to view state-level map. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. Dec. 10, 2020. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. Blue and Red States - 270toWin Inside Pennsylvania, a Truly Red State - Richardcyoung Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? But I've got news for them, too. Error! The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. COVID-19 has hit people in Republican-led states hardest, study finds [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. COVID-19: Red States, Blue States | Open Mind For Trump, It's Not the United States, It's Red and Blue States Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. It is not a blue state or a red state. Red States 2023 - Worldpopulationreview You have entered an incorrect email address! Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election.
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